Sunday, April 23, 2017

Amazing future - if we don't get nuked first

Too good not to make sure it's shared. (Link here; formatting a bit better below)
Udo Gollub at Messe Berlin.
I just went to the Singularity University summit and here are the key learnings.

In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide.
Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they got bankrupt.
What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10 year - and most people don't see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures on paper film again?

Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time, before it became way superiour and got mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.

Welcome to the Exponential Age.

Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.

Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties.

Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected. In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% less laywyers in the future, only specialists will remain.

Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 time more accurate than human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.

Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's licence and will never own a car. It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for that. We can transform former parking space into parks. 1,2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 100,000km, with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 10 million km. That will save a million lifes each year.

Most car companies might become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels. I spoke to a lot of engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; they are completely terrified of Tesla.

Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.

Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood.

Electric cars will become mainstream until 2020. Cities will be less noisy because all cars will run on electric. Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can only now see the impact. Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. The price for solar will drop so much that all coal companies will be out of business by 2025.

With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter. We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.

Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There will be companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star Trek) that works with you phone, which takes your retina scan, you blood sample and you breath into it. It then analyses 54 biomarkers that will identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medicine, nearly for free. (See Forbes NEWS on Tricorders  and Wikipedia article.)

3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from 18,000$ to 400$ within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All major shoe companies started 3D printing shoes. Spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amout of spare parts they used to have in the past.
At the end of this year, new smartphones will have 3D scanning possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at home. In China, they already 3D printed a complete 6-storey office building. By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed.

Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner? If it doesn't work with your phone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed in to failure in the 21st century.
Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in such a small time.

Agriculture: There will be a 100$ agricultural robot in the future. Farmers in 3rd world countried can then become managers of their field instead of working all days on their fields. Aeroponics will need much less water. The first petri dish produced veal is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows. Imagine if we don't need that space anymore. There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains more protein than meat. It will be labeled as "alternative protein source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).

There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you are. Until 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial expressions if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's being displayed when they are telling the truth and when not.

Bitcoin will become mainstream this year and might even become the default reserve currency.

Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per year. Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80 years. The increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more that one year increase per year. So we all might live for a long long time, probably way more than 100.

Education: The cheapest smartphones are already at 10$ in Africa and Asia. Until 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smartphone. That means, everyone has the same access to world class education. Every child can use Khan academy for everything a child learns at school in First World countries. We have already released our software in Indonesia and will release it in Arabic, Suaheli and Chinese this Summer, because I see an enormous potential. We will give the English app for free, so that children in Africa can become fluent in English within half a year.

Wednesday, April 19, 2017

NARAL starts DIRTY, ROTTEN, SEXIST SCOUNDRELS campaign

Just got this in email. Since it's not on their web page, thought I'd share it here and tweet it. Here's link to where to report your favorite scoundrels.

Otherwise, obviously still enslaved by Facebook. But screen saving everything important in case Trump orders them to Persona Non Grata all of us troublemakers! (Like after he declares martial law after he bombs North Korea - which responds with nukes. Pretty much what saavy libertarians and peaceniks expected!)

And a few more pro-choice memes... Last one mine. Busy finishing off some projects at Pro-ChoiceLibertarians.Net and then YES! I will work on CarolMoore.Net and Secession.Net.



Friday, March 24, 2017

Recent womens and American Indian protest photos

March 8, 2017 International Women's Day
I took these at the 800 plus mostly women rally a few blocks from the Capitol building. Just a few of them below.

March 10, 2017 Standing Rock Indian protest vs. Dakota Pipeline
Maybe a 1000 activists, mostly out of towners, at this one. Some great indigenous costumes.

Thursday, March 23, 2017

These (state brainwashed) Kids Today!

Read an infuriating article from University of Pennsylvania student newsletter whining about "'Women are being erased' under Trump" - when they made it quite clear they were big supporters of the transgender movement which has relentlessly tried to erase women born as women. Just sharing this edited version of my ranting reply to keep the blog alive. (Wonder if the snowflakes will delete it.) I'll even link from FB (aka freaking facebook - bleah, crappy archiving for compulsive archivists.)  Enjoy... Plus a few memes for emphasis.

This article would be humorous if it wasn't so sad.  Because of transgender ideologues physicians can't say "mother" or "breastfeeding" in England any more - how long before here?; pro-choice women mentioning vaginas or wearing pink pussy hats or carrying "don't tread on my uterus" graphics are called "transphobic"; abortion clinics become womens clinics; and women's clinics become what - all gender clinics?

Women who dare to note that women born as women, their experiences as well as their natural bodies, are being erased are called TERFs (Trans exclusionary radical feminists). That acronym often is used in the insult/threat "DIE, TERF, DIE" delivered over the last few years to thousands of women online. Women who hold forums just to discuss these issues in the most sympathetic and inclusionary manner are shouted down until police remove the offenders. A new woman’s library in Canada was invaded and property destroyed on its opening night just because one of the founders had criticized transgender ideology; protesters called for removal of books that had nothing to do with transgenderism which they obviously hadn't read. Police had to be called.

And let's not forget the erasure of gay men and lesbian woman, i.e., all of them who now are being called transgender at an early age and rushed into hormone therapy, before they figure out - "Oh, I'm really gay."  Too many parents may prefer transgender children to gay or lesbian ones! Or are gays and lesbians no longer part of the "intersectionality" philosophy??

If one woman on that panel had dared to mention even one of these factoids she would have been shouted down and probably asked to leave the stage.  How many good Democratic women were too disgusted to vote for Hillary because of her support for confused little boys sharing shower rooms with their daughters or any convicted sex offender who claims to be a woman following them into a big box store woman's rest room?  My guess is it was AT LEAST 80,000 in the four usually democratic states that Trump one by 78,000 votes.

When I was in college in the sixties we had a lot of ideas about peace and love and transcending sex stereotypes and building community, ones many of us still have today. And we were on the lookout to make sure the future 1984 was not like the book “1984".

I'm sad to see today's college kids are about "diversity of tactics" and attacking anyone whose ideas are a smidgen different and reinforcing sexual stereotypes through hormone treatments of 7 year olds and making sure only your community counts and the rest are policed by federal law and jackbooted thugs to make sure they are politically correct.

Don't worry, it's not your fault. It's the fault of all the power hungry bureaucrats out to win big paychecks, promotions, perks and pensions by manipulating your lives with whatever ideology screws with people's minds the most.  And they finally have found it - instead of "1984" it is "2017."  "War is peace" and "men with penises can be women".  What a collapse in morality, culture and common sense.

Soon you’ll be out of college and realize that your future already has been mortgaged to pay for baby boomers social security and medicare. (In 3 years I’ve already collected about 8 times more than I put in and I’ve got healthy genes and expect to live another 20 years.) So if you don’t want to be slaves paying 2/3 to 3/4 of your income in taxes for war and elder care, sharing an apartment with 3 roomies, and no hope of having your own kids, you better start looking at reality and stop listening to tenured professors who are little more than mind-f*cking government bureaucrats.

There is an alternative, one many of us discovered when reading Paul Goodman's "Communitas" and Kirkpatrick Sale's "Human Scale." It is radical political decentralization and destruction of the centralized governments that are our real oppressors, bringing war, poverty and oppression.

Right now all you are doing is serving bureaucrats and a state that couldn’t care less if they destroy you. Stop wasting your time on divisive intersectionality and put your efforts into fighting for EVERYONE's freedom.

Saturday, March 04, 2017

INPUT! INPUT! for my poor neglected blog...

Here's some of my fun memes of last month...

Poor neglected blog...

Neglected for the so much more ephemeral Facebook pro-choice and libertarian and uppity women organizing facebook posts and twitter tweets. Sure, I screenshot everything twice a month for posterity. At least til Trump gets us nuked in the new war he and Israel's fascist leader Bibi Netanyahu are planning vs. Iran. (Russia has a military alliance with Iran. Guess mainstream media never mentioned that, did it?)

Plus I am trying to get my old websites updated. (So hopefully they'll all look cool like this one I'm working on.) So pardon me if I just do a few quick screen shots of some recent postings and memes.

Wednesday, February 08, 2017

Women Protest against Sexism - and for Abortion Rights!

Carol & pro-choice libertarians sign
Two and half weeks ago - January 21 - 500,000 mostly women protested the rank sexism of newly inaugurated President Trump. Most of us were against his most dangerous agenda, outlawing abortion from conception. This despite the fact polls show a large majority of Americans want to keep abortions legal:  Quinnipiac University national poll and Pew Research Poll. d/

Under Roe v. Wade abortion is legal in all cases in the first two trimesters and to save life of mother or remove dead or dying fetus. Most late term abortions due to women having inadequate access to high priced abortions that it takes them time to arrange. All due to the vicious laws passed by abortion prohibitionists who inaccurately call themselves "ProLife."  Something our Pro-Choice Libertarians group emphasizes and other pro-choice groups should too.

See all my photos here. And below are some particularly good pro-choice signs.








Monday, January 16, 2017

OOOPS! It's 2017 already! A couple January posts

What the hey...  Let's start with one from today... The Anti-Abortionist Boobs Memes debate started again when some guys started ooggling one of their memes.  I responded with this meme:

Plus other stuff... now hopefully back to our regularly scheduled blah blah blah...


OOOPS! It's 2017 already! December Posts

Here's a couple good ones from Facebook, December 2016.

* * * *

I also was on quite a Pro-Choice Libertarian binge in December, debating with some anti-abortionist women who try to show how cool they are to "sex positive" young women (and male voyeurs) by showing their cleavage. Yet elsewhere they have insulted and shamed and defacto terrorizing women through calling abortion murder and making it clear the law should deal with murder.  One admits she tries to get women to talk about their abortions and makes them feel bad about it. What psychotic hypocrits! I may yet do a whole website page on them once I FINALLY put carolmoore.net into wordpress...



 And one of them is a born-again Christian who had her own ministry to women who had had abortions.  Very mentally deranged... (my mock on her, not her actual meme!)



Can you tell that I believe that extremism in defense of women's control of their own bodies is NO VICE?? To paraphrase Karl Hess who wrote "liberty" for some presidential candidate who lost. I just applied it more specifically to women's rights - which these right wing dick pricks are putting under assault yet again. And women are getting mad!